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Future Energy eNewsNov. 19, 2003 Integrity Research Institute does not yet have an online version of this newsletter, so I'm taking the liberty of posting it here and would encourage you to subscribe (sign up at bottom of their main page).
Sent: Tuesday, November 18, 2003 11:32 PM
Subject: Earth Warming; Energy Bill; LED Therapy; Tesla Report
1) Global Warming affects energy choices - Another call for an
energy Manhattan Project to avert worsening hot house earth.
2) Energy Bill is useless says Union of Concerned Scientists - NY
Times and Washington Post agree. Call your Senator.
3) LED Therapy - Energy medicine is now mainstream - DARPA &
NASA funded. Article uses the word 'cure.' Tell your doctor.
4) Handling Innovation with Patience - Little companies more
important than big ones in some invention arenas.
5) Report on the Tesla Conference - Videos / DVDs available from
800-952-LOST (Lost Arts Media 562-427-ARTS) who recorded the successful IRI event.
1) As Earth Warms, the Hottest Issue Is Energy
By KENNETH CHANG, New York Times, November
4, 2003
Suppose that over the next decade or two the forecasts of global warming start to come true.
Color has drained from New England's autumns as maple trees die, and the Baltimore oriole can no
longer be found south of Buffalo. The Dust Bowl has returned to the Great Plains, and Arctic ice
is melting into open water. Upheavals in weather, the environment and life are accelerating
around the world.
Then what? If global warming occurs as predicted, there will be no easy way to turn the Earth's thermostat back down. The best that most scientists would hope for would be to slow and then halt the warming, and that would require a top-to-bottom revamping of the world's energy systems, shifting from fossil fuels like coal, oil and natural gas to alternatives that in large part do not yet exist. "We have to face the fact this is an enormous challenge," said Dr. Martin I. Hoffert, a professor of physics at New York University. But interviews with scientists, environment advocates and industry representatives show that there is no consensus in how to meet that challenge. Some look to the traditional renewable energy sources: solar and wind. Others believe use of fossil fuels will continue, but that the carbon dioxide can be captured and then stored underground. The nuclear power industry hopes concern over global warming may help spur a revival. In an article in the journal Science last November, Dr. Hoffert and 17 other experts looked at alternatives to fossil fuels and found all to have "severe deficiencies in their ability to stabilize global climate." The scientists believe that technological fixes are possible. Dr. Hoffert said the country needed to embark on an energy research program on the scale of the Manhattan Project that built the atomic bomb during World War II or the Apollo program that put men on the moon. "Maybe six or seven of them operating simultaneously," he said. "We should be prepared to invest several hundred billion dollars in the next 10 to 15 years." But to even have a hope of finding a solution, the effort must begin now, the scientists said. A new technology usually takes several decades to develop the underlying science, build pilot projects and then begin commercial deployment. The authors of the Science paper expect that a smorgasbord of energy sources will be needed, and they call for intensive research on radical ideas like vast solar arrays orbiting Earth that can collect sunlight and beam the energy down. "Many concepts will fail, and staying the course will require leadership," they wrote. "Stabilizing climate is not easy." The heart of the problem is carbon dioxide, the main byproduct from the burning of fossil fuels. When the atmosphere is rich in carbon dioxide, heat is trapped, producing a greenhouse effect. Most scientists believe the billions of tons of carbon dioxide released since the start of the Industrial Revolution are in part to blame for the one-degree rise in global temperatures over the past century. Carbon dioxide concentrations are now 30 percent higher than preindustrial levels. With rising living standards in developing nations, emissions of carbon dioxide are increasing, and the pace of warming is expected to speed up, too. Unchecked, carbon dioxide would reach twice preindustrial levels by midcentury and perhaps double again by the end of the century. That could force temperatures up by 3 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100, according to computer models. Because carbon dioxide is colorless, odorless and disperses immediately into the air, few realize how much spills out of tailpipes and smokestacks. An automobile, for example, generates perhaps 50 to 100 tons of carbon dioxide in its lifetime. The United States produces more carbon dioxide than any other country by far. Each American, on average, generates about 45,000 pounds of carbon dioxide a year. That is about twice as much as the average person living in Japan or Europe and many times more than someone living in a developing country like Zimbabwe, China or Panama. (Even if the United States achieves President Bush's goal of an 18 percent reduction in the intensity of carbon dioxide emissions by 2012, the output of an average American would still far exceed that of almost anyone else in the world.) Even if all emissions stop, levels of carbon dioxide in the air will remain high for centuries as the Earth gradually absorbs the excess. Currently, the world's energy use per second is about 12 trillion watts which would light up 120 billion 100-watt bulbs and 85 percent of that comes from fossil fuels.
2) The New Energy Bill
New York Times, November 15, 2003 http://www.nytimes.com/2003/11/15/politics/15ENER-TEXT.html?tntemail1
Some highlights of the agreement on energy legislation announced yesterday by House and Senate
Republican negotiators:
TAX INCENTIVES ELECTRICITY GRID ELECTRIC UTILITIES GAS ADDITIVES NEW PIPELINE WHATS NOT IN THE BILL Presidents proposal to open the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska to oil drilling. Plan to conduct an inventory of oiland gas reserves in coastal areas now off-limits to drilling. Requirements that electricity producers steadily increase their use of renewable fuels.
See the entire bill at: http://energy.senate.gov/legislation/energybill2003/energybill2003.cfm
----------------------------
Vote expected by full House and Senate this week. Three summary opinions below.
Union of Concerned Scientists Opinion
America needs an energy policy that increases our energy security and protects the environment.
Unfortunately, several House and Senate leaders are working behind closed doors to craft a final
energy bill that takes us backward by opening our public lands to oil and gas drilling, letting
polluters off the hook for contaminating our drinking water, and funneling billions of dollars in taxpayer
money to polluting industries. According to Senator Domenci (R-NM), chair of the energy
conference committee, the final bill will actually weaken the Clean Air Act by needlessly
extending the deadline to achieve health-based clean air standards. The bill imposes these risks
on our communities while ignoring practical solutions that would increase our use of clean
renewable energy, reduce our oil dependence, and prevent future blackouts. Please urge your
senators to reject this destructive energy bill. Follow this link to view a humorous cartoon
highlighting destructive pieces of the energy bill:
http://www.ucsusa.org/animation/energy01.html
Alliance to Save Energy Opinion
e-FFICIENCY News 11-19-03
http://www.magnetmail.net/Actions/linktosite.cfm?message_id=22357&
user_id=ase&recipient_id=797184&site=http://www.ase.org/policy/energy_bill_analysis.htm The energy bill recently passed by the House-Senate conference contains a number of vital energy-efficiency provisions including new appliance efficiency standards, better energy management in federal facilities, and tax incentives for energy-efficient buildings, appliances, and vehicles. Missing from the bill, however, is a full commitment to energy efficiency's potential to solve critical energy problems through measures such as higher fuel economy standards. The bill is expected to be voted on by the full House and Senate as early as this week. MoveOn.org Opinion http://www.moveon.org/energy-woes.pdf
3) LED Therapy
By Joy LePree, Technical Editor, Product Design & Development
Online, http://www.pddnet.com/scripts/showpr.asp?PUBCODE=045&
ACCT=0006487&ISSUE=0311&RELTYPE=RWE&PRODLETT=C&PRODCODE=0000
High-tech companies are exploring a strange new world to develop devices
that cure an assortment of illnesses. Almost everyone has seen an episode of Star Trek where the ship's doctor uses a hand-held laser device to heal any and all injuries crew members may have sustained while exploring new worlds. While this seems far-fetched to those of us who are used to receiving more traditional medicines to heal our aches and pains, the truth is light therapy is becoming a reality. Cutting-edge companies are working with partners in the medical research industry, as well as NASA and the Defense Advanced Research Project Agency (DARPA), to provide therapeutic light-emitting diode (LED) devices that may assist in the treatment of anything from wounds to muscle aches to torn ligaments to acne to blindness and more serious illnesses. A nurse practitioner places a Quantum LED array on the outside of a patient's cheek where it shines for just over a minute each day, promoting wound healing and preventing mouth sores caused by radiation and chemotherapy. Healing Power Of Light Currently a handful of tech companies are making medical LED devices for professional medical use, as well as lower-tech versions for over-the-counter consumer use. While each company's technology differs, they all work on the same basic premise: many illnesses are caused by cells inside the body being starved for energy. Injuries are often slow to heal for the same reason, so if a way can be found to provide the correct wavelength of light (which provides an alternate form of energy) and have it absorbed by those starved cells, it should speed the healing process. "If the cells are starved for energy, you have to find a way to provide them with the energy they need to recover from injury or disease," says Dr. Harry T. Whelan, professor of neurology at the Medical College of Wisconsin in Milwaukee, who is conducting studies using medical LEDs developed by Quantum Devices Inc. "Using LED therapy, the energy that we provide to those cells is in the form of near-infrared light, and the wavelength we've used most often is 670 nanometers, but we are still studying different wavelengths to find the optimum for different clinical situations. And currently, we use about 50 milliwatts per square centimeter of power intensity for a period of about one to three minutes to generate anywhere between four and eight jewels per square centimeter of full energy. The energy is then converted by the cells into a high-energy phosphate, which helps speed the healing." Some LED devices developed by companies other than Quantum operate at significantly lower wavelengths and power intensities. ADiomedics makes a bed with more than 2,000 LEDs. It treats the whole body for pain and muscle relaxation. Medical Device Makeup While there's an array of devices out there, from knee wraps to hand-held instruments to entire LED beds, they are all composed of several basic components. First there are the LEDs, which aren't typical LEDs. "The LEDs we use are much more powerful than the ones you have in your computer," says Ron Ignatius, founder and chairman of the board of Quantum Devices in Barneveld, WI. "They are 10 times as bright as the sun, but only offer helpful wavelengths without the harmful ones." Depending on whether the device is a hand-held, a wrap, or a pad, the LEDs are placed on a circuit board or a pad, says Randall Everett, president of Diomedics, a Melrose, FL-based developer of the technology. The devices are either battery- or ac-powered, which is usually preferable. "With batteries, you have constant power for only about an hour and then it starts dropping off and you lose the effectiveness of the treatment," says Everett. When designing medical LEDs, experts say that subtle differences in engineering technology don't result in significant differences in the basic biology of how and why LED therapy works. What's more important than the arrangement of lights or the housing is finding a way to get the appropriate intensity of light and power to penetrate the affected cells. "It's basically different ways of arranging the LEDs to get a certain intensity of a certain wavelength into tissue long enough to activate the energy chemistry of the cells so that the cells have more energy in the form of light and they can channel that energy into running the cells normally," says Whelan. The key to providing the appropriate wavelength and power is cooling technology, says Ignatius, because it allows the LEDs to supply light without heat. "It is necessary to provide built-in cooling technology to dissipate the heat so you can use the LED therapy, which penetrates very deeply, but still touch the lights to the skin without causing discomfort or burns," he says. The cooling technology used by different manufacturers is usually proprietary and covered by patents. Quantum's Warp 10 is a battery-powered infrared device being used by a handful of special operations forces. Soldiers can carry the device into combat to self-treat muscle aches and wounds. Enlightening Product Array Quantum's devices are considered to be extremely sophisticated because of their higher wavelengths, power intensities, and cooling technology. Because of its expertise in this area, Quantum has been working with NASA and DARPA to develop devices that would be useful in space and on the battlefield. Initially, Quantum began working with NASA to create something that would help stimulate plant growth in space. "I suggested the use of LEDs and they almost laughed me out of the room," recalls Ignatius. "But someone did a little research and found that the idea wasn't all that far-fetched and that it really worked." Since NASA found that LEDs could be used to provide energy for plant cells to grow, it wasn't that much of a leap to relate the technology to human cells, says Whelan. Subsequently, NASA provided funding to Quantum Devices with the hopes that it could develop a device for astronauts to stem the loss of bone and muscle mass, which occurs during long periods of weightlessness. Studies are being conducted to see if this therapy will work. Meanwhile, Whelan and engineers at Quantum discovered a more down-to-earth use for this technology in the form of a product called the Spectralight. "We are currently using it to treat patients with a condition called mucousitis, which occurs as a side effect of cancer treatments," says Ignatius. Mucousitis occurs when the mucous membranes of the body, especially those in the mouth, break down and cause bleeding and ulcers that lead to the inability to eat, making recovery more difficult. "Dr. Whelan found that by exposing just one cheek two minutes a day to the light source it could start eliminating the condition, and later we found that by exposing patients to the light source before the problem even started, it could be prevented," says Ignatius. Following the success of the Spectralight, Quantum received funding from DARPA to develop a device that soldiers could carry into combat to self-treat muscle aches and wounds with little or no training. In response, Quantum created the Warp 10, which is a battery-powered, hand-held infrared device. Currently, a handful of special operations forces are trying the Warp 10 on an experimental basis. The military is also looking into whether this same device could be used to treat blindness caused by enemy troops using laser weapons. Studies on reversing blindness in rats have shown promise in this area. Although Quantum's products are ultra high-tech devices for use only by professionals or the military, other companies offer over-the-counter LED devices that have been approved by the FDA for treatment of muscle aches and pain. "The FDA has cleared a number of applications for consumer use, so people can buy them without a prescription," says Richard Braden, president of BioScan, a Palitas, NM-based developer of medical LED therapies. "What used to be just in the realm of the laser surgeon or dermatologist is now available to people because the devices are being powered in such a way that they are completely safe." BioScan currently has three devices approved by the FDA for consumer use for the treatment of muscle aches and pain. One is a light patch, which is a 5-inch-by-8-inch oval pad with all the LEDs contained within it. The patch is placed on the sore area. Another is a spinal pad designed to contour with the spine. It includes lights placed along the areas that cover the nerve endings that are most responsive to LED energy. The company also has a battery-powered knee wrap, which is a knee brace with light devices built into it so that the user can put it on, turn it on, and walk around while receiving therapy. Diomedics makes similar products as well as a bed with more than 2,000 LEDs on it. "It looks like a tanning bed and has a box attached that controls the lights," says Everett. "The patient lays on it and it treats the whole body for pain and muscle relaxation at one time." Future LED Applications Much research is underway on the use of medical LED therapy to determine whether there are other applications for light therapy. "Research is currently being done on the different effects of different spectrums of light on living tissues," says Braden. It is thought that the visible red spectrum, which is roughly in the 600 to 700 nanometer range, is effective with surface issues such as wound care and that higher wavelengths, including infrared, are more penetrating. Studies also suggest that going down to the 400 or 500 nanometer spectrum, which is blue light, might be effective for treating skin disorders including acne and scarring. "Companies in this business are looking at the medical research that is being conducted regarding different frequencies of light to see where this technology might take us," says Braden. He foresees wound care as being the next big application. "You can expect over the next few years to see LED therapy as being the primary treatment for wounds such as post-surgical and non-healing wounds like diabetic ulcers." Whelan and Ignatius say they would like to test their technology in other clinical situations such as spinal cord injuries and for treatment of Parkinson's disease, strokes, brain tumors, and tissue and organ regeneration. "It may seem strange to some people because it is very much a change in the whole paradigm of medicine, which has been pretty much poisons and knives up until this point. The use of natural energy at an intensity that is brighter than the sun, but still nonetheless near infrared light at wavelengths that are helpful and not harmful, to enhance the cells' natural biochemistry truly has a lot of potential in the medical arena," says Whelan. Product Design and Development 301 Gibraltar Drive Morris Plains, NJ 07950 Visit Industrial Products Bulletin Online at: 4) In Handling Innovation, Patience Is a VirtueCAMBRIDGE, Mass., Sept. 25 - In one of its current television commercials, the Hewlett-Packard Company describes itself as a leader in the science of nanotechnology. It invites consumers to imagine the exciting products of the future, like light bulbs that never burn out and "a cellphone so small an ant could use it." The advertising team probably did not run that one by R. Stanley Williams, who works in the nanotechnology trenches as director for quantum science research at Hewlett-Packard Labs in Palo Alto, Calif. Not surprisingly, Mr. Williams chose not to elaborate on the telecommunications needs of insects when he spoke here this week at the Emerging Technologies Conference at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Instead, he preached patience. Yes, it is possible to build a hand-held device that can outperform all the earth's present computers, he said, but it may take 50 years to figure out how to make it. He warned that consumers will get fed up with innovations - including the wonders expected from nanotechnology, or the science of very tiny objects - that are oversold or underdelivered. "They are a little bit jaded," Mr. Williams said. "They've heard too much of this wonderful future, and they wonder why it isn't here right now." Jeffrey R. Immelt, the chief executive of the General Electric Company, also counseled patience, to engineers and investors. He has poured extra money into research and development at G.E. while loosening timelines on projects that may not pay off for 10 years or more. For established companies, he said, investing in emerging technologies is a matter of survival. "I just see very clearly that unless you're out there pushing the envelope and driving innovation, you're not going to get the kind of margins and the kind of growth that we need for a company like G.E.," Mr. Immelt said. "I really see it as an economic imperative." Some experts warn that even the best corporate research efforts may not be enough to ward off disruptions to their businesses that come from innovations out of left field. Inevitably, some of today's household names will falter in the face of newcomers with better ideas, just as several mainframe computer companies were left behind in the wake of minicomputers and minicomputer companies disappeared with the advent of PC's. Nathan Myhrvold, a former top scientist at the Microsoft Corporation who runs Intellectual Ventures, an investment firm in Bellevue, Wash., surmised that in the not-too-distant future, the top 20 companies in pharmaceuticals, with the exception of one or two, would be unfamiliar names. "If you look at the pipeline of drugs in clinical trials,'' he said, "way more of them were made by the little companies than the big guys." The conference, organized by M.I.T.'s Technology Review magazine, drew about 1,000 attendees from established companies like Cisco Systems Inc., Kraft Foods Inc. and the Sprint Corporation, and even a few unknown start-ups. They listened to colorful descriptions of nanotechnology as well as other innovations like developing hydrogen fuel sources and creating medicines based on genomics. Wireless technologies seemed among the ripest for products making their way onto the market, as demonstrated by four-year-old WideRay, a San Francisco company that was showing off the wireless capabilities of its proximity server, which allows a user to download information onto a personal digital assistant just by moving near it. Despite the promise of these inventions, several speakers were fretful. Faced with a sluggish economy, many companies have reined in their research and development budgets. David Tennenhouse, vice president of the Intel Corporation's technology group, more than once lamented the insufficiency of government financing for basic research at universities. And Edward B. Roberts, a professor of technology management at M.I.T.'s Sloan School of Management, pointed out that two-thirds of all corporate research and development expenditures are for short-term projects, not the long-term ones that will be the ground-shaking breakthroughs. At the General Motors Corporation, research spending has stayed about the same in recent years, but Lawrence F. Burns, vice president for research and development and planning, said he has achieved better results by working with knowledgeable (and less expensive) researchers in China, India, Israel and Russia. Sharing is also a virtue, as in the research lab G.M. owns with the Boeing Company and the Raytheon Company. "Each company has specific directive research and then shared research," Mr. Burns said. "That's a highly leverage-able thing." Lucien P. Hughes, research director for the technology labs at Accenture, the consulting company, agreed that alliances in research are now the norm. "The days of the large-scale insular lab - not talking to the rest of the world - I think are over for now," he said. Finding the technology - either through internal ingenuity, outsourcing or acquisition - is only the beginning. For a time-honored company, breakthrough technologies can be as disruptive inside the company as they are externally. Too many companies are not structurally prepared to handle them, said Professor Roberts of M.I.T. "It's not all a question of a willingness to spend," he said. "It's a willingness to participate." Moreover, while many companies are trying to tie their research efforts more closely to their actual marketing needs, some of the most successful companies have faltered along the way by listening too closely to what their current customers want, and not planning for unknown markets. "I do a lot of customer interaction," Mr. Immelt of G.E. said, "but when it comes time to figure out nanotechnology, there's no customer view on nanotechnology." As for whether old-school or upstart companies will dominate the innovation game in the coming years, Mr. Myhrvold of Intellectual Ventures said it is anyone's guess. "Really radical stuff," he said, "is going to come bubbling up from random sources, like it always does."
5) Report on the Nikola Tesla Energy Science Conference & Exposition
----- Original Message -----
From: <David.Hamilton@ee.doe.gov>
Sent: Monday, November 10, 2003 9:24 AM
Subject: trip report
I attended the local event this weekend celebrating the Centennial of Paul Werbos, PhD., and Director of Electrical Communications at NSF gave a
Provided as a courtesy from: http://www.integrityresearchinstitute.org --
sponsor of the First Nikola Tesla Energy Science Conference & Exposition,
November 8-9, 2003 in the Washington DC area.
See also
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